Epidemiology: Incidence and Prevalence · USMLE Step 1

A rare disease suddenly becomes more easily detectable due to improved diagnostic tests. What will happen to prevalence and incidence in the short term?

  1. Prevalence increases; incidence decreases
  2. Prevalence increases; incidence increases
  3. Prevalence decreases; incidence stays the same
  4. Prevalence stays the same; incidence decreases
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Correct answer: Prevalence increases; incidence increases

Improved detection increases identification of both existing and newly diagnosed cases, temporarily raising both prevalence and incidence.

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